The
various rounds of the French presidential and parliamentary elections are now
over. Before they started socialists throughout Europe were on the back foot.
Now France has a socialist president and the Parti Socialiste will also have an
overall majority in the National Assembly for Hollande’s five year term. This
is historic but as Pierre Kanuty, who runs the international affairs of the
Parti Socialiste in Paris points out – it is the end but also the beginning.
As I
write this the final share of the seats in the French parliament is not known
but the Parti Socialiste will have between 312 and 323 of them. The figure for
an absolute majority is 289 out of the 577 so Hollande’s party will rule
outright without having to rely on the support of the Greens or other left wing
groupings.
One
of those MPs will be Axelle Lemaire who is the first MP to be elected for the
new constituency which embraces the UK, Republic of Ireland and all the Nordic
countries. Lemaire is a French Canadian who spent her teenage years in France
before settling in London. In the second round of voting she secured 54.8 per
cent of the vote (Hollande received 53.1 in the presidential voting). A clearly
delighted Lemaire expressed: “
“the
socialist party made it and won an absolute majority. This is historical, but
we’re not hysterical. Historical because, for the very
first time in the history of our country, the left, has all the powers. The
local level and the national level. In a sense, it was mechanical, and
no one forgets where we are coming from.”
Indeed the
socialists in France have spent years out in the cold. Pierre observes: “Ten years
ago, the defeat was so bitter that we’ve been through a deep depression. Under
the leadership of François Hollande, the crisis was hard but we started to re-conquer
from local basis thanks to our victory at all local elections from 2004 to
present.
With the
local powers came the main cities like Paris, Lyon, Nantes, Toulouse, the
regions and the departments - local councils.”
So Pierre
why did Sarkozy win in 2007? “In a way, winning the presidential elections of
2007 was possible, but at the time, there was a strong gap between the fierce
campaign of Nicolas Sarkozy and the controversial campaign let by Segolene
Royal.
Although we
lost that year, we got more MPs than five years before and it was the promise
of future victories. The landslide of municipal elections in 2008 and regional
elections in 2010 brought a historical change with our victory in the Senate,
for the very first time in history.”
So what was
left for the Parti Socialiste to achieve? Pierre stated: “What was
left was a national success for the left. Our
primaries, the presidential campaign and the legislative elections, gave us a
momentum we never lost. But on the other hand, voters were fed up with a whole
year full of politics and elections. This is one of the reasons for the low
turnout.”
I have
already mentioned that Axelle Lemaire will be one of the new MPs and Pierre
makes the point this election was: “Historical also because, more than one
hundred female MP's, most of them socialists, will enter the new assembly. The
conservatives had decided to sacrifice gender equality to secure an impossible
victory. Ethnic minorities are also part of the winning pack with a dozen new
MP's.”
So I asked
Pierre how will the new parliament look? He explained: “François
Hollande and Jean-Marc Ayrault have now a strong majority to implement their
commitments.
For the first
time, the Green party will have a parliamentary group. The left
front (a coalition including the communists) are the big losers of the campaign.
Melenchon decided to defy Marine Le Pen, but the socialist candidate was ahead.
This personal failure is to be added to a political crisis for the left front
on the very day Syriza didn’t win the elections in Greece.
“On the
right side, the Right went wrong. Most of the MPs from UMP who had been
flirting with the National Front have been defeated. The National Front will
have two MPs: a former controversial lawyer and the granddaughter of Jean-Marie
Le Pen who will be the youngest MP.
“If we look
at the map, we have historical victories in traditionally conservative
constituencies. In many parts of the eastern side of the country, next to the
borders, in areas that have not recovered yet from the collapse of industries,
the conservatives and the nationalists made a strong performance.”
Pierre
started his remarks by saying the Parti Socialiste had secured a historical
victory but the socialists were not being hysterical. He explained why: “we're
not hysterical because we fully understand the pressure of responsibilities.
The current economical and social situation is the main frame. The situation
has never been so hard. The socialists never had such a majority. But
mathematical superiority must match political possibilities.
“It is the
end of a decade in opposition and the beginning of a new era full of uncertain
stakes and challenges. This will question the real strength of politics. Are we
able to tackle unfair choices, to take over financial markets and stop the
hysteria of austerity or are we just good to manage hard times.
“The
government has the support needed to rule for economical efficiency and social
justice. It is also a momentum for François Hollande and the time for him to
make the right moves in Europe and in the G8 and G20. It is a strong hope for
the progressives. Now it is time to move forward.”
The Spicy
Tale: It was in early April that I wrote the first of this series of articles
on the French elections. I touched on the colourful love lives of French
politicians and that is how I shall close. Segolene Royal, the former partner
of Francois Hollande and mother of his children was of course the party’s
candidate for president in 2007. This time around she stood as an MP in
Charentes-Maritime in La Rochelle. She was defeated by an independent socialist
Olivier Falorni 63 per cent to 37.
Hollande had
pledged his support for Royal but the new first lady who sits in the Elyse
Palace in her place, Valerie Trierweiler, is said to have posted on Twitter her
support for Falorni. In her speech conceding defeat Royal spoke of betrayal as
well she might.
“Cherchons la femme” as they say in the Rue du
Chat-qui-Pêche.
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